Ham’s Note: This is Pat Swags, he’s running his DraftKings Value Picks on here. Had some good calls these last few weeks. Give it a look.
P.S. I didn’t spell check any of it
Week 8 Draftkings Value Plays
- Philip Rivers ($6,600): Rivers has been on a fantasy tear of late. In his last three games, he’s attempted 48, 65, and 58 passes and completed over 65% of those passes in the past three games as well. This week, the Chargers and Raiders have an over/under of 50.5, with the Ravens being favored by 3, meaning Rivers will in all likelihood have to throw. With the Ravens having one of the worst secondaries in the NFL, the matchup for Rivers is great. He can and should easily outperform the top tier QBs this week and is a good bet for a top 3 QB overall.
- Andy Dalton ($6,000): Finally Dalton gets some love from Draftkings this week and moves up to the 6k QBs. He’s easily been one of the most consistent fantasy QBs all season long and this week he will continue to do the same against the Steelers. This Bengals offense is so balanced and can attack from so many positions that Andy Dalton basically can’t fuck it up. He has a floor of around 20 DK points, which for a QB priced at $6,000 is more than solid, and he can easily blow up for 30 or more points which he’s already done twice in six games.
- Todd Gurley ($6,300): If you didn’t have Gurley in your lineups last week, shame on you. He rushed two straight games over 100 yards against the Cardinals and Packers and was priced at $5,000 going against the worst rushing defense by far in the Browns. Easiest decision ever. Anyway, this week he plays the 49ers who got gashed last week by Marshawn Lynch. Gurley is quickly becoming the workhorse on the Rams and it’s not long before defenses start to key in on him. Take advantage while you can with a great price of $6,300 and a great matchup.
- Doug Martin ($5,500): In the last 3 games the Bucs have played, the muscle hamster has rushed for over 100 yards in each with 3 total TDs over that span, and catching 11 passes for 107 yards and a TD. He torched the Redskins last week on the ground for unfortunately didn’t end up with a TD. This week, that is sure to change. The game has an over/under of 49 points and I think that it will end up way over. Martin can easily rush for a TD or 2 against a Falcons defense that ranks 31st in DK points to opposing RBS.
- Chris Johnson ($4,600): Start running backs against the Browns. The Browns have allowed over 150 rushing yards in every game but one this season. Last week, Todd Gurley embarrassed them, and this week Chris Johnson gets to eat. Since being named the official starter in week 3, he’s scored double digit DK points every game but one. He’s my number one overall value this week at only $4,900.
- Jeremy Maclin ($6,200): After sitting out week 7 with a concussion, Maclin appears to be in line to start this week. Maclin will see his share of targets with the Chiefs desperate for offensive help. The matchup is also very good for Maclin also. The Lions have given up over 400 yards of total offense the past 2 weeks, and can’t seem to stop the run or pass consistently. With Travis Kelce seemingly not being targeted in the red zone, Maclin is a candidate to grab a touchdown with a huge day of yardage as well.
- Martavis Bryant ($5,300): In his two games back from suspension, Martavis Bryant has seen 8 targets in each game and has caught 3 TDs in that span also. He’s already shown to be a consistent option for the Steelers, and with Big Ben coming back, his floor and ceiling automatically rise. I love Antonio Brown this week also, but Bryant can have another big week. The Bengals rank 21st in passing yards per game, so the way to beat them is clearly through the air. Expect Bryant to keep it rolling this week.
- Stefon Diggs ($4,800): Diggs is a steal this week on Draftkings priced at only $4,800. In the last 3 games the Vikings have played, he’s gotten 10,9, and 9 targets catching 19 of those for 324 yards and a TD. Diggs is clearly emerging as the number 1 receiver on the Vikings, and Bridgewater is looking his way all throughout the games. I absolutely love Diggs this week and expect him to have one of the highest roster percentages this week. Don’t miss out like you did with Gurley last week
- Delanie Walker ($4,100): Delanie Walker and Kendall Wright are basically the only Titans that ever see targets. Walker is as consistent as they come for a cheap TE, scoring double digit points in every game except one this season. Marcus Mariota may not suit up again this week which may bump Walker down a bit, but Zach Mettenberger looked Walker’s way often last game as his safety blanket. Watch the QB situation, but Walker is a nice cash game play at only $4,100.
- Eric Ebron ($3,100): Last week Ebron made his return from a knee problem that kept him out for weeks 5 and 6. Ebron caught 5 passes for 89 yards and a TD, netting 19.9 DK points. He’s played consistently so far this season when he’s played, but the matchup this week is a bit tricky. The Chiefs cannot stop the pass whatsoever, yet rank 1st in least fantasy points allowed to tight ends. They really haven’t played any good tight ends though other than Tyler Eifert who had a 9.9 point day, and Martellus Bennett with Jimmy Clausen as the QB. He’s a contrarian option, but a decent punt play.
- St. Louis ($3,200): They were the number one fantasy defense last week, and I see more of the same this week. The Rams play the 49ers who are just a mess right now. Kaep has played alright, but I see no reason to believe this is a week he plays better than expected. With Carlos Hyde questionable to play with a left foot fracture, everything for the Rams defense lines up this week.