Ham’s Note: This is Pat Swags, he’s gonna be running his DraftKings Value Picks on Fridays. He did a decent job last week but not great. This week will better… or, you know, it won’t. So who knows? Let’s see what he has.
P.S. I didn’t spell check any of it
Week 5 Draftkings Value Picks
Eli Manning ($6,800): $6,800 on DK isn’t cheap, but when the top guys like Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers are $7,800 and $7,900 respectively, Eli becomes a lot more likeable. My man Eli picked the Bills apart last week throwing for 3 TDs and his only pick of the year on 212 yards. He hasn’t topped 300 yards yet this year, but he could this week going against the 49ers. The 49ers can step up and play the occasional decent game on defense, but they’re a hopeless team that can look really sluggish and vulnerable for long stretches. Eli is a really solid play this week in any format at $6,800
Marcus Mariota ($6,000): Mariota has played extremely well through the first three weeks of the season (Titans Bye week 4). He’s thrown eight TDs with only 2 picks which is really good for a rookie. Week 5, he plays the Bills defense which has looked underwhelming through the first four weeks of the season. They’ve been one of the worst defenses against opposing quarterbacks, so the matchup is there for Mariota. The only concern, and it’s a big one, is Rex Ryan’s history with rookie QBs. His defenses bend rookie QBs over, but Mariota has a real chance to shine this week.
Jay Cutler ($5,300): Cutler bounced back in week 4 from his injury that kept him out of week 3 and half of week 2. Throwing 2 TDs and a pick on 281 yards, Cutler looked like he can still be a solid fantasy QB. The Bears play the Chiefs this week who have given up the most fantasy points to opposing receivers so far this year, and Cutler also gets back Alshon Jeffrey in week 5, making Cutler an interesting option if you want more weapons.
Dion Lewis ($4,800): As I’m writing this, Lewis just got signed to a two year extension with the Patriots. Lewis is a PPR machine this so far this year, scoring over 15 DK points in each game. He’s their new Shane Vereen and he’s been really effective if you’ve played him or against him. The Cowboys defense has been exposed the last 2 weeks by running backs, and this week should be the same story. Lewis will get 8-10 carries, but he’s going to earn his keep by catching passes. $4,800 is way too cheap for Lewis.
T.J Yeldon ($4,400): This week is all about the matchup. I don’t expect the Jags Bucs game to be high scoring, which means Yeldon will get his carries. Last week he scored 15.9 DK points wih 105 yards rushing on 22 carries. As long as the Jags don’t get blown out, Yeldon will touch the ball. The Bucs run D also hasn’t been good. They’ve given up over 100 yards rushing in each game so far this season, so Yeldon has a good chance to repeat that and possibly score a TD or 2. If you’re tight on $ at RB cause you’re starting Le’Veon, Yeldon could be a sneaky play.
Todd Gurley ($4,300): Gurley proved in week 4 that he has the potential to be an RB1. After being eased back into action in week 3, Gurley exploded week 4 for 21.1 DK points against the Cardinals, who aren’t exactly a push over defense. This week, Gurley plays Green Bay which is not the best matchup for a RB. The Packers run D has held opposing RBs to under 80 yards rushing in back to back weeks. I normally would play the matchup, but Gurley may be too talented to sit out this week. I would feel confident if Gurley was an RB or even FLEX play in week 5.
Kendall Wright ($5,400): Wright has always been a mildly reliable fantasy option. He’s clearly Mariota’s number one option this year, and can move the chains for the Titans. This week is a good matchup for Wright. The Bills secondary can’t stop quarterbacks from throwing all over them. As much as they were hyped coming into the year, receivers have had their way with the Bills secondary. Expect a good amount of targets for Wright who may be one of the only productive offensive players for the Titans this week. He’s definitely a decent play at only $5,400.
Travis Benjamin ($4,500): Benjamin’s TD streak of three straight weeks finally ended last week, but he still ended up with a decent day. He scored 13.9 points which is great considering his price tag of $4,200 in week 4. He looked electric with Manziel and has looked consistent as a WR2 with Josh McCown. He has a chance for a huge week in week 5 going against a terrible looking Ravens secondary. If Big Ben wasn’t hurt last week, Antonio would’ve embarrassed them. He’s set up for a huge week.
Leonard Hankerson ($4,000): Hankerson has pretty much pushed Roddy White down the depth chart on the Falcons. He outscored Julio Jones last week with 25.3 DK points on 6 catches for 103 yards and a TD. The Redskins have a vulnerable secondary and Julio is pretty much guaranteed to go off, but Hankerson could have another big week. Matt Ryan trusts him and Hankerson should only keep getting better from here on out. Big time value play.
Jamison Crowder ($3,500): This man is a sleeper. In week 3 he had 6 catches for 45 yards and in week 4 he had 7 catches for 65 yards. DeSean Jackson is more than likely going to sit out one more week, and Jordan Reed has (what else is new?) another concussion. He was the most targeted Redskins receiver last week and can build on his week 4 with a productive week 5. The Falcons secondary let DeAndre Hopkins get 9 catches for 157 yards last week and have shown they can be beat through the air. Crowder’s a really sneaky value play this week
Charles Clay ($4,100): Charles Clay has improved his fantasy numbers in each week so far this season. Tyrod Taylor loves Clay and has been targeting him more and more as his safety valve. He had over 100 yards receiving finally last week and even had a TD reversed because of a penalty. This week Clay has a solid chance to improve again, or at least put up similar numbers as last week. He’s a top 5 TE for me this week.
Owen Daniels ($2,700): Again, this week is all about the matchup. The Raiders have the worst defense in the league against tight ends by far, and Peyton Manning has shown more chemistry with Owen Daniels in the last two weeks, with Daniels scoring a TD in each game. Daniels has always been the biggest fantasy disappointment, but its weeks like this upcoming one where he has a huge day that will make you pick him up in season long and he disappoints as usual. (Daniels screwed me in a matchup last year, fuck him)
Giants ($2,900): Start the defense that plays Kaepernick and the 49ers. Just do it. The Giants have looked really good too.
Jaguars ($2,700): The only reason the Jags are a value this week is because Jameis Winston is the new king of the interceptions with 7 picks through 4 games. If it wasn’t for the Patriots, the Jags defense would be ranked higher. This week, they can easily get some sacks on the weak O Line of the Bucs, and will more than likely have at least 1 pick on Jameis. They’re not a bad play if you really need to save $.